Executive Director of Global InfoAnalytics, Mussa Dankwah, says recent polling in the Kpandai Constituency points to generally favourable voter sentiment toward the governing National Democratic Congress (NDC), even though the parliamentary contest remains highly competitive and too close to predict.
The findings come ahead of the December 30 parliamentary rerun in Kpandai, ordered by the High Court on November 24, which directed that a fresh election be held within 30 days after the seat was declared vacant. The Electoral Commission officially received confirmation of the vacancy from the Clerk of Parliament on December 8, paving the way for the rerun.
Former Kpandai Member of Parliament, Matthew Nyindam, has challenged the court ruling, insisting that the 2024 parliamentary election was conducted fairly. Despite the ongoing legal process, he has announced his intention to contest the rerun.
According to Mr. Dankwah, overall national sentiment in the constituency appears to favour the incumbent government. He noted that a majority of respondents believe the country is heading in the right direction, a factor that often benefits the ruling party.
“The sentiments in Kpandai overall appear to favour the ruling NDC government, with most voters saying the country is heading in the right direction,” he said. The poll shows that 26 percent of respondents believe the country is on the wrong path, while eight percent expressed no opinion.
On presidential performance, the survey recorded a 64 percent approval rating for the President, with 27 percent disapproving and nine percent undecided. Views on personal economic conditions were also largely positive, with 54 percent of respondents saying their situation had improved, 34 percent reporting no change, and 11 percent saying it had worsened. One percent had no opinion.
Mr. Dankwah said these indicators would normally place the NDC in a strong position. “Broadly, this is a sentiment that should carry the NDC candidate across the finish line quite easily,” he explained.
However, he cautioned that the parliamentary race itself tells a different story. “When it comes to the parliamentary election, the race is too close to call. The margin between the candidates is within the margin of error,” he noted.
He added that the narrow gap makes it impossible to predict the outcome at this stage, stressing that only the final round of polling will offer clearer insight into how the contest may eventually unfold.